Public ledger, 76 picks graded, 2026 season
Every pick, graded. Publicly.
Nothing here was added after kickoff.
We publish every pick before kickoff and grade it once the game goes final. No screenshots, no retroactive edits, no "this would've won." This is the entire pick history, timestamped and verifiable.
Graded record
40–33
54.8% on graded picks, 3 push
Cumulative units
+7.8u
1u flat / pick
ROI
+10.2%
vs. break-even
Average CLV
-0.43pp
lock → close fair move
Open picks
44
posted, not yet graded
Picks are graded 1u flat at the lock price, the price available when the pick posted, not a better one found later.
CLV is the de-vigged fair-probability move from lock to close.
Tier thresholds are not yet empirically tuned and are held fixed until at least 100 picks settle, so early tier splits carry very little signal.
Not investment advice.
Cumulative units, Aug 21, 2026 → Sep 10, 2026
+7.8u net, across 76 graded picks
+7.8u
Current
76
Graded
44
Open
Gold Zone
18–11
62.1%, n=29
+5.6u, 2.0u flat
Wager
15–14
51.7%, n=29
+3.1u, 1.0u flat
Lean
7–8
46.7%, n=15
-0.9u, 0.25u flat
By market
76 graded
MARKETRECORDWIN %
UNITS
ROI
CLV
Q1 moneyline
1-0 (1P)
100.0%
+1.3u
+66.5%
+1.54pp
Q1 total
0-1
0.0%
-1.0u
-100.0%
-2.45pp
Game moneyline
10-8 (1P)
55.6%
+3.9u
+20.4%
-0.40pp
Game spread
13-8 (1P)
61.9%
+4.2u
+19.1%
-0.72pp
Game total
16-16
50.0%
-0.6u
-2.0%
-0.33pp
Showing 76–76 of 76 graded picks, sorted newest first
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POSTED
TIER
GAME
PICK
EDGE
RESULT
GRADE
Aug 21, 2026kickoff Aug 21
Gold
GB @ DEN
Game totalOver 40.5 (-114)
+8.0
Final 33–13
✓ Win
+0.88u
Page 4 of 4, showing 76–76 of 76 picks
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