Our pre-game 1st-quarter numbers
Pre-game model, not re-run in play
CHI leads after Q1, pre-game
39%
Settled: 10 points scored in the quarter
NE was 39% and level
22%. On getting on the board at all we had
CHI 66%,
NE 65% and someone
91%, all shown as context
only, no edge, no pick.
Pre-game Q1 projections
CHI leads after Q1
39%
Projected Q1 points
8.8
Opening drive scores
42%
NE scores in Q1
65%
CHI scores in Q1
66%
Actual Q1
NE 0, CHI 10
These are the numbers we published before kickoff. The model is
closed-form and pre-game. It is not re-run play by play, so nothing
here moves while the game is on.
Q1 drives
D1
NE
6 plays, 23 yds, 3:30, 6 plays, 23 yards, 3:30
DOWNS
D2
CHI
5 plays, 29 yds, 1:37, 5 plays, 29 yards, 1:37
FIELD GOAL
D3
NE
3 plays, 6 yds, 1:36, 3 plays, 6 yards, 1:36
PUNT
D4
CHI
3 plays, 3 yds, 2:31, 3 plays, 3 yards, 2:31
PUNT
D5
NE
3 plays, 1 yds, 2:08, 3 plays, 1 yard, 2:08
PUNT
D6
CHI
5 plays, 74 yds, 2:00, 5 plays, 74 yards, 2:00
TOUCHDOWN
D7
NE
9 plays, 74 yds, 5:05, 9 plays, 74 yards, 5:05
TOUCHDOWN