FirstSnap.net / This week / Today's free pick
Snapshot Tue 11:44a ET / live data

No free pick this week.

Nothing on this slate clears our publishing bar, so we are not putting a pick up. A week with no call is a real outcome, not a gap. We would rather post nothing than manufacture something to fill the page.

The numbers we publish for every game

Model probabilities for the opening quarter, Tue 11:44a ET

No game is being published this week, so there are no numbers to show.

The opening drive

Whichever team receives the kickoff, on its first possession
Opening drive ends in points —% How often the opening drive ends in a touchdown or a field goal. The coin toss has not happened, so we do not know who receives: we run each offence’s opening-drive scoring rate against the other’s allow rate, shrink both toward the league average, and average the two cases evenly. Context only: back-testing found no edge on this market, so we publish no pick on it.

Every market we price

Priced against the sharp line. The bookmaker margin is stripped from both sides before we compare

No markets are priced for this game yet.

The other 14 games

You just read one snapshot. There are 14 more like it.

Every game on the slate gets the same treatment: which side scores first, opening-drive scoring, the 1st-quarter total and margin, and every full-game line. Re-priced every five minutes against the sharp line, right up to kickoff. One flat price, no upsells.

Month or season pass. One-time, nothing to cancel. 21+ in legal states
Locked Thu 8:15p ET
NE @ CHI
Our number
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Locked Sun 9:30a ET
PIT @ NO
Our number
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Locked Sun 1:00p ET
SF @ ATL
Our number
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Locked Sun 1:00p ET
CLE @ TEN
Our number
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FirstSnap™ is an analytics product, not a sportsbook. 21+ and present in a state where wagering is legal. 1-800-GAMBLER.