Our pre-game 1st-quarter numbers
Pre-game model, not re-run in play
MIN leads after Q1, pre-game
38%
Settled: 7 points scored in the quarter
IND was 40% and level
22%. On getting on the board at all we had
MIN 66%,
IND 66% and someone
91%, all shown as context
only, no edge, no pick.
Pre-game Q1 projections
MIN leads after Q1
38%
Projected Q1 points
8.8
Opening drive scores
42%
IND scores in Q1
66%
MIN scores in Q1
66%
Actual Q1
IND 7, MIN 0
These are the numbers we published before kickoff. The model is
closed-form and pre-game. It is not re-run play by play, so nothing
here moves while the game is on.
Q1 drives
D1
MIN
4 plays, 8 yds, 2:14, 4 plays, 8 yards, 2:14
DOWNS
D2
IND
7 plays, 61 yds, 3:33, 7 plays, 61 yards, 3:33
TOUCHDOWN
D3
MIN
4 plays, 21 yds, 2:04, 4 plays, 21 yards, 2:04
PUNT
D4
IND
3 plays, 7 yds, 0:56, 3 plays, 7 yards, 0:56
PUNT
D5
MIN
15 plays, 53 yds, 6:21, 15 plays, 53 yards, 6:21
FIELD GOAL