Our pre-game 1st-quarter numbers
Pre-game model, not re-run in play
ATL leads after Q1, pre-game
39%
Settled: 10 points scored in the quarter
SF was 39% and level
22%. On getting on the board at all we had
ATL 65%,
SF 65% and someone
91%, all shown as context
only, no edge, no pick.
Pre-game Q1 projections
ATL leads after Q1
39%
Projected Q1 points
8.7
Opening drive scores
42%
SF scores in Q1
65%
ATL scores in Q1
65%
Actual Q1
SF 7, ATL 3
These are the numbers we published before kickoff. The model is
closed-form and pre-game. It is not re-run play by play, so nothing
here moves while the game is on.
Q1 drives
D1
SF
10 plays, 64 yds, 5:38, 10 plays, 64 yards, 5:38
TOUCHDOWN
D2
ATL
5 plays, 15 yds, 2:16, 5 plays, 15 yards, 2:16
FIELD GOAL
D3
SF
6 plays, 18 yds, 3:30, 6 plays, 18 yards, 3:30
PUNT
D4
ATL
3 plays, 5 yds, 2:01, 3 plays, 5 yards, 2:01
PUNT
D5
SF
4 plays, 63 yds, 1:41, 4 plays, 63 yards, 1:41
TOUCHDOWN