Our pre-game 1st-quarter numbers
Pre-game model, not re-run in play
CAR leads after Q1, pre-game
39%
Settled: 7 points scored in the quarter
TB was 40% and level
22%. On getting on the board at all we had
CAR 65%,
TB 66% and someone
91%, all shown as context
only, no edge, no pick.
Pre-game Q1 projections
CAR leads after Q1
39%
Projected Q1 points
8.7
Opening drive scores
42%
TB scores in Q1
66%
CAR scores in Q1
65%
Actual Q1
TB 7, CAR 0
These are the numbers we published before kickoff. The model is
closed-form and pre-game. It is not re-run play by play, so nothing
here moves while the game is on.
Q1 drives
D1
TB
14 plays, 70 yds, 7:38, 14 plays, 70 yards, 7:38
TOUCHDOWN
D2
CAR
6 plays, 19 yds, 2:37, 6 plays, 19 yards, 2:37
PUNT
D3
TB
5 plays, 32 yds, 3:58, 5 plays, 32 yards, 3:58
PUNT
D4
TB
5 plays, 14 yds, 1:35, 5 plays, 14 yards, 1:35
FIELD GOAL