Our pre-game 1st-quarter numbers
Pre-game model, not re-run in play
TEN leads after Q1, pre-game
39%
Settled: 21 points scored in the quarter
CLE was 39% and level
22%. On getting on the board at all we had
TEN 66%,
CLE 66% and someone
91%, all shown as context
only, no edge, no pick.
Pre-game Q1 projections
TEN leads after Q1
39%
Projected Q1 points
8.7
Opening drive scores
42%
CLE scores in Q1
66%
TEN scores in Q1
66%
Actual Q1
CLE 7, TEN 14
These are the numbers we published before kickoff. The model is
closed-form and pre-game. It is not re-run play by play, so nothing
here moves while the game is on.
Q1 drives
D1
TEN
6 plays, 65 yds, 2:03, 6 plays, 65 yards, 2:03
TOUCHDOWN
D2
CLE
5 plays, 11 yds, 2:16, 5 plays, 11 yards, 2:16
INTERCEPTION
D3
TEN
4 plays, 24 yds, 2:06, 4 plays, 24 yards, 2:06
TOUCHDOWN
D4
CLE
6 plays, 73 yds, 3:03, 6 plays, 73 yards, 3:03
TOUCHDOWN
D5
TEN
3 plays, 3 yds, 1:20, 3 plays, 3 yards, 1:20
PUNT
D6
CLE
3 plays, 5 yds, 1:42, 3 plays, 5 yards, 1:42
PUNT
D7
TEN
14 plays, 55 yds, 7:56, 14 plays, 55 yards, 7:56
DOWNS